Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Saturday Picks – April 23

Senior racing adviser Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses statistics and systems to find value bets and shares his final thoughts below…

Andrew has six Super Saturday bets in Haydock, Ripon, Limerick and Wolverhampton on St George’s Day, April 23. Take his advice this week and throughout the year on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

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RIPON 1.45

THE RIDLER (system – Brazen Beau, debut at 2, 5f)

Brazen Beau’s offspring are seven out of 37 on their juvenile debut on the 5f minimum trip and backing them all would have netted a profit of £33.20 at a £1 upgrade at SP. by Richard Fahey THE CAVALIER is well moored in stall 8 and deserves to be lucky for her debut. I also supported JAXTAwhose trainer has a good record in this race and will combine the pair in a reverse forecast.


KIRATI BEACH (system – newcomers Paddy Twomey)

Newcomers trained by Paddy Twomey, regardless of age, are showing good profit, winning 12 of their 72 starts for a return of +£27.30 to £1. In Class E races only, their record is ten out of 33 for a profit of £54.30. KIRATI BEACH qualifies in this 1m fillies maiden.


LOVE INTEREST (system – Newcastle’s first winners next time)

Since Newcastle introduced its Tapeta surface in 2016, this site’s early winners have had a good record in auctions for the follow-up, with 37 of 109 qualifiers scoring (34%) for a profit of £17.97 for a stake of level 1 £ at SP. It didn’t seem like a great race LOVE INTEREST won on her debut in October, but she should start 6-1 on her reappearance and that could be generous. BRUNO’S GOLD also qualifies on this angle in today’s 4.35 in Ripon.


DEFINITIVE (system – Ralph Beckett, first blinders)

Since the start of 2016, Ralph Beckett has a record 18 of 79 (22.8% strike rate) when using the blinders for the first time for a profit of £76.73 for a Tier 1 stake £ at SP. Four of these horses were making their first start since being castrated, because DEFINITIVE is here, and two of them won (+£16.25).

RIPON 3.28

LEXINGTON KNIGHT (system – Richard Hannon, blinders for the first time in handicaps)

Since the start of 2015, Richard Hannon has a 15 out of 121 when using blinders for the first time in a handicap. Backing all qualifiers would have netted a profit of £63.50 at a £1 upgrade at SP. KNIGHT OF LEXINGTON could only finish seventh out of 12 when favorite at Doncaster on his reappearance and could do better now equipped with the headgear.


LOCAL BAY (system – Tony Carroll, second passage for the site, AW Class 6, recent course)

Tony Carroll does well the second time around asking with horses that he takes over from other yards, especially when racing in a low-grade (class 6) all-weather contest after a recent race (in the past six last weeks). He’s had 33 runners on those terms since 2018 and nine of them have won (27.3% strike rate) for a profit of £51.82 for a £1 tier stake at SP. LOCAL BAY is the last qualifier and can challenge his wide draw in this 7f handicap.

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