Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – August 11

Senior racing adviser Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses statistics and systems to find value bets and shares his final thoughts below…

Andrew heads to Salisbury and Racing League action at Lingfield for four recommended bets on Thursday August 11. Follow his advice this week and all year on horse racing betting sites with details of his latest picks below:

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CREAM CHANTILLY (system – New Bay 2yrs, 7f+, turf)

Sire New Bay’s juvenile offspring prefer turf at all times and come into their own on sprint outings. If we had backed everyone running on 7f on grass, in Great Britain and Ireland, we would have won 26 of our 107 bets and made a profit of £41.83 for a £1 upgrade at SP (expected winners = 14.53). Racecourse debutants were ten out of 38 for £41.50 profit and newcomer Michael Bell WHIPPED CREAM might be able to cause a slight upset.


SILENT FLAME (system – Racing League flops, class drop)

Horses that disappointed in a Racing League contest on their last start, finishing sixth or worse, often make good bets when they move up to Class 4 or lower for their next outing. Since the Racing League was established last summer, 13 of the 99 qualifiers have won for a profit of £48.88 on the usual £1 stake. Rod Millman’s SILENT FLAME was far from disgraced in a Class 4 Racing League contest at Doncaster last week, finishing a 16-1 eighth out of 13, and will find today’s company more fitting. This track will also be more to her liking, with her three races here having produced two wins, including this race 12 months ago (when she got the three-year-old weight for age allowance), and a short third .


POSTMARK (system – Milton Harris, first tab in handicaps)

Since the start of 2010, Milton Harris is five out of 23 with handicappers in a first draw for a profit of £14.50 and POSTMARK looks very interesting in this Racing League contest under Frankie Dettori. The three-year-old first won blinders for Ralph Beckett earlier this month and has since changed hands for £50,000.


RED OCTOBER (system – time of year)

RED OCTOBER tends to perform better in July and August, recording numbers of 1011221 (4-7) for a profit of £11.30. Both runner-up efforts came when 11-1 and he might be able to reward support either way.

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Other Horse Racing Tips
Andrew Mount’s advice on horse racing
Andrew Mount’s Spread-Ex Analysis
Today’s Placepot Tips
Daily betting tip each way

Today’s 15 Lucky Horse Racing Tips
Horse Racing Daily Betting Tips
The NAP of today’s horse racing

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